206 – Unit III

Unit – 3

[Notes Authored by Prof. Sayyed Muddassar N., IMS A’Nagar]

Decision Support Systems

Content

  • Decision Support Systems
  • Data Warehousing
  • Data Mining
  • Business Intelligence and Analytics
  • Group Decision Support Systems (GDSS)
  • Executive Information Systems/ Executive Support Systems (EIS/ESS)
  • Geographical Information Systems (GIS)
  • Knowledge Based Expert Systems/Expert Systems (KBES/ES)
  • Artificial Intelligence (AI)


Importance of MIS in Management

Types of decision:-

  • Strategical, Tactical & Operational
  • Structured/Programmed – Routine, repetative
  • Unstructured/Non Programmed – Non-routine, non-repetative

Relevance of MIS.JPG

Relevance/Importance of MIS in Management


Evolution of DSS

  • Initial concept – processing data, reports – General format – Distinction between data : information – Data analyzed in many ways/angles – MIS became individual oriented – Exception reporting – Need based exception reporting – Further decentralization of system – multiple databases – anybody handling system – Decision Support system

Decision Making Process

Decision making process

Definition – Decision Support System (DSS)

  • A Decision Support System (DSS) is a computer-based information system that supports organizational decision making activities
  • DSS help management to make decisions on Unstructured and Semi-Structured problems
  • Does not give a decision itself

Characteristics of DSS

  • Facilitation : Helps to make decision process easy
  • Interactive : Two way, User – System
  • Task-Oriented: Based on spefic tasks
  • Ancillary : Act as secondary support mechanism to decision making
  • Repeated Use: Reusable
  • Identifiable: Easily identified
  • Decision Impact: Impact on decision making

DSS Technology Levels

Sprague and Carlson (1982) identified three levels of DSS technology:

  • Specific DSS : Systems that actually accomplish the work is SDSS
  • DSS Generators : Integrated easy-to-use package with diverse capabilities ranging from modeling, report generation, graphical presentation
  • DSS Tools : Lowest level/fundamental level and consists of software utilities of tools

DSS Technology levels


Decision Support System Components 

DSS components

  • Data Management :
    • Storing and maintaining the information
  • Model Management :
    • It consists of both the DSS models and the Model Management System
  • Interface Management :
    • This component allows user – system interaction. It consists of the user interface management system

Data Warehousing

  • A method to provide data to decision
  • Data warehousing is the process of creating, populating, and then querying a data
  • “A warehouse is a subject-oriented, integrated, time-variant and non-volatile collection of data in support of management’s decision making process“ – Bill Inmon

Characteristics of Data Warehousing

  • Subject– Oriented: It is related to specific subject
  • Integrated : All sub data are integrated into one warehouse
  • Non- volatile : Changes made only manualy
  • Time Variant : Data is in context with time
  • Accessible : Easily accessible
  • Process-Oriented: Data related to specific process

Components of Data Warehousing Architecture

Data Warehousing architechture

Advantages of Datawarehousing

  • Potential High Returns on Investment
  • Competitive Advantage
  • Increased Productivity of Corporate Decision-Makers
  • More cost-Effective Decision-Making
  • Better enterprise intelligence
  • Delivers and Enhanced Business Intelligence
  • Saves Time
  • Enhances Data Quality and Consistency
  • Provides Historical Intelligence

Data Mining

  • Data mining/knowledge discovery, is the computer-assisted process of digging through and analyzing enormous sets of data and then extracting the meaning of the data
  • “Data Mining, or Knowledge Discovery in Databases (KDD), is the extraction of implicit, previously unknown, and potentially useful information from data.

Data Mining Architecture

Data mining architecture

Components of Data  Mining

  • Database, Data Warehouse or Other Information Repository
  • Database or Data Warehouse Server
  • Knowledge Base
  • Data Mining Engine
  • Pattern Evaluation Module
  • Graphical User Interface

Data Mining Process       

Data mining process


Business Intelligence (BI)

  • Business intelligence (BI) is a set of Technologies for gathering, storing, analyzing and providing access to information to help enterprise users make better business Decisions
  • BI is used at all three levels

BI is useful in following areas:-

  • Market research, analysis, segmentation
  • Customer profiling, Loyalty
  • PLC
  • Distributor/sales analysis
  • Reporting
  • KM
  • Supply Chain analysis
  • Behavioral Analysis etc……

Business Analytics (BA)

  • Organizations are data rich – information poor
  • Extensive data use – statistical/quantitative analysis – fact based management – decision making – performance
  • BA is the combination of skills, technologies, applications & processes used by organizations to gain insight into business based on data & statistics to drive business plan

Business Intelligence and analytics

BIS

 

BI BA


GROUP DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM (GDSS)

  • GDSS is an interactive computer based system that facilitates a number of decision-makers (working together in a group) in finding solutions to problems that are unstructured in nature.

Components of GDSS

  • Hardware
  • Software Tools
  • People
  • Procedures

Features of GDSS

  • Support for Dispersed Group
  • Technology-Assisted Meetings
  • Better Decision Making
  • Emphasis on Semi-structured and Unstructured Decisions
  • Supports all Phases of the Decision Making

Executive Information System (EIS/ESS)

  • EIS is a specialized Decision Support System with the help of this, executives get a great support in taking and performing the various types of the decisions
  • Specialized form of DSS
  • Executives work nature is special
  • The emphasis of EIS is on graphical displays and easy-to-use user interfaces

Characteristics of EIS

  • Display graphs and reports from the business processes of an organization
  • Provides trends, analysis, exception reporting
  • Easy to use: Both System design and interface design

Geographical Information Systems (GIS)

  • GIS is a computer system capable of assembling, storing, manipulating, and displaying geographically referenced information, i.e. data identified according to their locations
  • A GIS is a system that provides spatial data entry, management, retrieval, analysis, and visualization functions
  • For decision making

GIS Components

GIS Components

 

Data layers

Applications of GIS

  • Marketing/Advertising
  • Archeology
  • Cartography – Map making
  • Site selection
  • Election administration
  • Distribution network

Artificial Intelligence (AI)

  • John McCarthy, who coined the term in 1955, defines it as “the science and engineering of making intelligent machines
  • AI is a branch of computer science that is concerned with the automation of intelligence behavior
  • Human intelligence – Use of sensory organs, creativity, imagination, learning from past, adaptive, language, emotions etc
  • Machine Intelligence – Complex calculations, Information transfer, Repetitive work without error

AI

Objectives of Artificial Intelligence

  • Understand Human
  • Cost-Effective Automation
  • Cost-Effective Intelligence Amplification

Knowledge Based Expert System/Expert System(KBES/ES)

  • “An expert system is a computer program that represents and reasons with knowledge of some specialist subject with a view to solving problems or giving advice.”
  •   medicine, chemistry, finance etc.

Architecture of an Expert System

Expert systems

FEATURES OF ES

  • Problem solving in the area of expertise
  • Relying heavily on domain knowledge
  • Explanation: Ability to explain results to user
  • IF-THEN RULES
    • If condition P, then conclusion C
    • If situation S, then action A
    • If conditions C1 and C2 hold, then condition C does not hold

MIS DSS.JPG




 

Important Questions

  • Difference in MIS & DSS
  • Data Warehouse
  • Data Mining
  • Explain concept of Data Warehousing. Discuss need of DW in modern business.
  • Define DSS. Explain components of DSS.
  • Explain GDSS/ES/EIS/GIS in detail.

Example Application Based Questions

  • ‘A top level management always needs an exclusive information system for decision making’. Comment on statement in context of EIS/ESS.
  • Compare different information systems for different managerial levels with explanation.
  • Explain how expert system will help in improving performance of manufacturing firm.
  • “Data Warehousing & Data Mining capacities can act as competitive advantage”. Do you agree? How?
  • “Artificial Intelligence is the future”. Do you agree this statement? Explain.

 



[Notes Authored by Prof. Sayyed Muddassar N., IMS A’Nagar]

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Unit II

Unit III

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